Chase The Race 2016

    Chase the Race 2016

The 2016 presidential elections are coming up. Several events have caused a few commonly asked questions. A few of which have caused much debate. Get the facts straight here.

1.   Are the Iowa Caucuses an accurate barometer of who will win the candidacy?  Why or why not?

The Caucuses in Iowa are important. They help you gain momentum in the race. You need have one of the Caucus vote to have a good chance of becoming the President, or even the candidate. Data shows that the Republican side won five representatives through the Iowa and New Hampshire votes. Three presidents won presidency, and were selected in the Caucuses and Primary. On the Democratic side, six representatives were selected to become nominees. Five presidents won, first selected in the Iowa Caucuses and the New Hampshire primary. To summarize, you need to win a Caucus or Primary to be able to become the president.  Even though you may have won a Caucus, or Primary, you still may not win. They only give you a head start. If you don’t win a caucus or primary, funders drop out, and candidates have less of a chance of becoming a president.

Caucus: noun

a meeting of party members to choose candidates to run in an election. In some states, Democrats and Republicans will hold caucuses to determine which candidate they will support for president.

2.    Is the New Hampshire Primary and accurate barometer of who will win the candidacy? Why or Why not?

According to Social Studies for Kids, “A Primary election is a sort of a ‘first-round’ election, for which candidates campaign throughout the various states, according to a set schedule.” “Iowa and New Hampshire get a lot of attention, but their records in picking presidents, let alone nominees, is spotty.” “In the past 10 elections, the New Hampshire Primary has given 5 democratic nominees and 1 democratic presidents and it has also given 5 GOP nominees and 2 GOP president.” It’s unlikely to win the candidacy, and there is a slim chance of winning if you don’t win the Primary. 15% of the time the time the winner of New Hampshire becomes the president. It is not that accurate on predicting the winner.The New Hampshire Primary does give a head start for the party nominee, as it gives them the most delegates to begin with, but the winner of the general election often did not win the New Hampshire Primary. Since 1976, the Primary has picked 5 GOP nominees, but only two became president. On the democratic side, there has also been 5 nominees since 1976, but only one became president.

3.    How does Super Tuesday impact the process? What happens for the primaries and caucuses that follow?  

A Caucus- a meeting of party members to choose candidates to run in an election. (Democrats and Republicans will hold caucuses to determine which candidate they will support for president.)

A Primary- an election in a state to select political party’s candidates for the general election.  Ok i'll type conclusion and intro and fix sammies

Super Tuesday- a day when a dozen states will hold their primaries and caucuses this year (March 1st)

Super Tuesday speeds up the process of the state elections by showing who will ultimately run for president.  Is also gives primaries and caucuses more leeway and more time to occur by getting twelve states done during one day.  The dozen caucuses and primaries that follow will decide who the representatives are, making a big impact of who we are going to see and choose for our president.  

4.   Who are the main candidates running for president for each party?

5.   What are the current predictions regarding the candidates?

Hillary Clinton is in the lead for the Democrats. Trump is ruling the Republicans with an iron fist. Kasich is looking more appealing to the population. Out of the current results, having everyone very close to winning, the current predictions will be that Donald Trump, Ted Cruz, or Hillary Clinton will most likely win.  But out of those three, Donald Trump is most likely to win.  With the latest poll results on New York (which has some of the most delicates), Donald Trump won, with Hillary Clinton following behind him.  This means that Donald Trump beat two people’s home states, which is very hard to do. The front runners gain momentum and get media attention. The front runners aren’t always the winners because no runner up has won caucuses and primaries so they still have a chance to win the nomination, but with more and more polls coming in, it seems that Donald Trump will take the cake.  

6.  What are the primary differences between primaries and caucus? How do those differences impact the outcome?

A Caucus- a meeting of party members to choose candidates to run in an election. (Democrats and Republicans will hold caucuses to determine which candidate they will support for president.)

A Primary- an election in a state to select political party’s candidates for the general election.

A Caucus is when several people from one party choose a candidate to run in an election. Caucuses determine which candidate that party will support. People can only vote for the candidates from their party.  A Primary is a small election held in each state that narrows down the candidates. When there are two candidates left(one from each party) there will be an election that any person no matter what their party can vote for any candidate. The main difference between a Caucus and a Primary is that a in a Caucus only Republicans can vote for Republican candidates and only Democrats can vote for Democratic candidates, where a  Primary it is completely open anyone can vote for any candidate, and it doesn’t matter if they are in their party. In a Caucus the fact that voters can only vote for their party candidates the Caucus votes will be less because some people might prefer a candidate in the other party so just don’t vote at all. The Primary will probably receive more votes because the voting is completely open.

Overall, the debates about questions about things like, the Iowa caucuses, or what Super Tuesday is, or even the current predictions, people can find out the answers here.  Hopefuly these facts have given a better understanding of politics and can help form more fact based opinions. Through thorough research and planning, this website is possible, giving all of the facts that the creators knew.

Bibliography 

http://www.npr.org/2016/01/31/465016222/how-predictive-are-iowa-and-new-hampshire

http://election.scholastic.com/

http://www.politico.com/2016-election/results/map/president

http://www.socialstudiesforkids.com/articles/government/presidentialprimaries1.htm

http://pbskids.org/zoom/fromyou/elections/elections101.html

http://www.congressforkids.net/Elections_index.htm

http://www.studentnewsdaily.com/

http://www.studentnewsdaily.com/2016-presidential-election/

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https://www.democrats.org/party-platform

https://www.gop.com/platform/

http://www.dogonews.com/2016/2/3/us-presidential-race-kicks-off-with-the-iowa-caucus

https://www.kidsvotingusa.org/results-archive/2016/451-kv-nh-2016-primary-results-1/file

http://kpcnotebook.scholastic.com/post/new-hampshire-prepares-primaries

http://www.electionprojection.com/latest-polls/