Chase The Race 2016

Chase the Race 2016

     Over 100 million people will vote in the general election in November. However, some people that vote have some important questions that are not answered by the media. In this page we will go in to deep detail about some of the most important questions that Americans have about the election.

By: Rhianna L., Dillon G., Cameron H., Adam S., William B., and Daniel R., 

EQ 1:Are the Iowa Caucuses an accurate barometer  of who will win the election?

A: The Caucuses in Iowa are important. They help you gain momentum in the race. You need have one of the Caucus vote to have a good chance of becoming the President, or even the candidate. Data shows that the Republican side won five representatives through the Iowa and New Hampshire votes. Three presidents won presidency, and were selected in the Caucuses and Primary. On the Democratic side, six representatives were selected to become nominees. Five presidents won, first selected in the Iowa Caucuses and the New Hampshire primary. To summarize, you need to win a Caucus or Primary to be able to become the president.  Even though you may have won a Caucus, or Primary, you still may not win. They only give you a head start. If you don’t win a caucus or primary, funders drop out, and candidates have less of a chance of becoming a president. 

EQ 2: Is the New Hampshire Primary an accurate barometer of who will win the candidacy? Why or why not?

A: It’s unlikely to win the candidacy, and there is a slim chance of winning if you don’t win the Primary. 15% of the time the time the winner of New Hampshire becomes the president. It is not that accurate on predicting the winner.The New Hampshire Primary does give a head start for the party nominee, as it gives them the most delegates to begin with, but the winner of the general election often did not win the New Hampshire Primary. Since 1976, the Primary has picked 5 GOP nominees, but only two became president. On the democratic side, there has also been 5 nominees since 1976, but only one became president.

EQ 3: How does Super Tuesday affect the process? What happens to the primaries and caucuses that follow?

A: Super Tuesday speeds up the process of the state elections by showing who will ultimately run for president. If twelve primaries and caucuses are held at one time, they allow more things to get done by the time the election rolls by. A primary election is a sort of "first-round" election, for which candidates are campaigning throughout the various states, according to a set schedule. Caucuses are a meeting of party members to choose candidates to run in an election. (Democrats and Republicans will hold caucuses to determine which candidate they will support for president.) Super Tuesday gives primaries and caucuses more leeway and more time to occur by getting twelve states done during one day.? Are front runners always the winners?

EQ 4: Who are the main candidates running for president for each party?

A: Republican Party:

·        Goes for a stronger a (freer?) America

·        Restores Economy and Jobs.

·        Restoration of Constitutional Order/Government (Congress and the Executive)

·        Natural Resources

·        Government Serves People

·        Renewing American Values

·        American Exceptionalism

Still Running:

·        Ted Cruz (U.S. Senator of Texas, Announced: 3/23/15, Lives: Houston, Texas, Born: Calgary, Canada, Actual Name: Rafael Edward Cruz, Got the name Ted in Middle School)

·        Donald Trump-leading won New York (Chairman/President of Trump Organization, Announced: 6/16/15, Lives: New York City, New York, Born: Queens, New York, Baseball Player, Got a Small Loan of a Million Dollars from his dad)

·        John Kasich (Governor of Ohio, Announced: 7/21/15, Lives: Westerville, Ohio, Born: McKees Rocks, Pennsylvania, Likes the band Snow Patrol)

Dropped Out:

·        Rick Perry (Former Governor of Texas, Announced 6/4/15, Dropped Out: 9/11/15)

·        Scott Walker (Governor of Wisconsin, Announced: 7/13/15, Dropped Out: 9/21/15)

·        Bobby Jindal (Governor Louisiana, Announced: 6/24/15, Dropped Out: 11/17/15)

·        Lindsey Graham (U.S. Senator of South Carolina, Announced: 6/1/15, Dropped Out: 12/21/15)

·        George Pataki Former Governor (New York)
Announced: 5/28/15
Dropped Out: 12/29/15

·        Mike Huckabee Former Governor (Arkansas)
Announced: 5/5/15,Dropped Out: 2/1/16

·        Rand Paul US Senator (Kentucky)
Announced: 4/7/15, Dropped Out: 2/3/16

·        Rick Santorum Former US Senator (Pennsylvania)
Announced: 5/27/15, Dropped Out: 2/3/16

·        Chris Christie Governor (New Jersey)
Announced: 6/30/15Dropped Out: 2/10/16

·        Carly Fiorina Former Hewlett Packard CEO
Announced: 5/4/15, Out: 2/10/16

·        Jim Gilmore Former Governor (Virginia)
Announced: 7/30/15, Dropped Out: 2/12/16

·        Jeb Bush Former Governor (Florida)
Announced: 6/15/15, Dropped Out: 2/20/16

·        Ben Carson Former director of pediatric neurosurgery at Johns Hopkins Hospital, Announced: 5/4/15, Dropped Out: 3/4/16

·        Marco Rubio US Senator (Florida)
Announced: 4/13/15, Dropped Out: 3/15/16

Democratic Party:

·        Moving America Forward

·        Rebuilding Middle Class Security

·        Fairness

·        Greater Together

·        Stronger, Safer, Secure

          Still Running:

·        Hillary Clinton-Leading won New York. Former US Secretary of State
Announced: 4/12/15, From: Chappaqua, New York, Born: Chicago, Illinois, Was a Girl Scout, Was a First Lady, Likes Wizard of Ozz

·        Bernie Sanders US Senator (Vermont)
Announced: 4/30/15, Lives: Burlington, Vermont, Born: Brooklyn, New York, Captain of High School Track Team

Dropped Out:

·        Jim Webb Former US Senator (Virginia)
Announced: 7/2/15, Dropped Out: 10/20/15

·        Lincoln Chafee Former Governor (Rhode Island)
Announced: 6/3/15, Dropped Out: 10/23/15

·        Martin O’Malley Former Governor (Maryland)
Announced: 5/30/15, Dropped Out: 2/1/16

Not Running:

·        Joe Biden Vice President of the United States

EQ 5:  What are the current predictions regarding the candidates? How do the current predictions impact the process?

A: Current predictions regarding the candidates:

Hillary Clinton is in the lead for the Democrats.

Trump is ruling the Republicans with an iron fist.  

Kasich is looking more appealing to the population but is mathematically out of the race.

How do the current predictions impact the process?

 The front runners would gain momentum.

 They would also get media attention.

Are front runners always the winners?

No, the runner up has won caucuses and primaries so they still have a chance to win the nomination. 

EQ 6: What are the primary differences between primaries and caucuses?  How do those differences impact the outcomes?

A: Primary: a preliminary election to appoint delegates to a party conference or to select the candidates for a principal, especially presidential, election.

Differences:

Primary    

The primary election is a first round election.

The winner of the primary gets the most votes.

Only the two main candidates can be voted for in the primary election

Caucus

All candidates, even minor ones, can be voted for in the caucus.

Iowa is an important state for the caucuses.

The Iowa caucuses help runners in the election gain momentum in the race, for they will have a better chance of becoming President, or even a candidate.