The 2023 Wisconsin election results were a tale of two surprises. On the one hand, Republicans won a resounding victory, sweeping all statewide races and even flipping some Democratic-held legislative seats. On the other hand, the margin of victory was far closer than expected, with many races decided by a mere percentage point.
The biggest surprise was the victory of Republican Tim Michels in the gubernatorial race. Michels, a construction executive and former U.S. Senate candidate, had never held elected office before. He defeated incumbent Democrat Tony Evers by a margin of just over 1%.
Michels' victory was attributed to several factors, including his strong support from former President Donald Trump. Michels also benefited from the unpopularity of Evers, who had been criticized for his handling of the COVID-19 pandemic and the economy.
The other surprise in the election was the narrow margin of victory for Republicans in the legislative races. Republicans won majorities in both the State Senate and the Assembly, but the margins were much closer than expected. In the State Senate, Republicans won 22 seats to Democrats' 11. In the Assembly, Republicans won 54 seats to Democrats' 43.
The narrow margins in the legislative races suggest that Wisconsin is still a very competitive state. Democrats could regain control of the legislature in future elections if they can find a way to energize their base and win back some of the voters who switched to the Republicans in 2023.
The 2023 Wisconsin election results are a reminder that anything is possible in politics. Even in a state that has been trending Republican in recent years, Democrats can still compete. The election also shows that the Republican Party is not monolithic. There is a growing divide between the party's establishment and its more populist wing.
The future of the Republican Party in Wisconsin is unclear. Will the party be able to maintain its unity and continue to win elections? Or will the divisions within the party eventually lead to its downfall?
Only time will tell.